Flint vs Skeid II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
12º
10º
16
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
5 - 2
SAR
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
IFL
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 4
KFU
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 4
IFL
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 0
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Skeid II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 0
AIF
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
SKE
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 2
ASK
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
3 - 3
GOF
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 7
SKE
28%
19%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |