Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
45.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
12º
10º
31
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
78% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
IFL
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 4
KFU
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 4
IFL
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 0
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 2
AFK
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
SKE
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
4 - 2
SAR
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
OPP
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
GOF
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |