Flint vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
IFL
1 - 5
SDF
4%
10%
86%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
IFL
2 - 1
ETO
23%
18%
60%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
IFL
1 - 2
OPP
25%
19%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
3 - 1
IFL
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IFL
1 - 3
POR
32%
20%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 1
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 4
ORN
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 1
EGE
24%
23%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KJE
1 - 0
ORN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORN
3 - 0
VAR
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |