Flint vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
12º
11º
46
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
IFL
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 2
GOF
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AFK
3 - 0
IFL
41%
22%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
IFL
1 - 2
FRI
10%
16%
75%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ULL
68%
16%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
OPP
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
ASK
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAR
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -2 |