Idoya vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDO
1 - 1
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
IDO
44%
25%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDO
0 - 2
SUB
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
IDO
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
IDO
3 - 1
COR
37%
29%
35%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OBE
3 - 1
SUB
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 2
OBE
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
2 - 1
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ERR
1 - 0
OBE
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 1
CAN
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |