Idoya vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 1
IDO
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
IDO
3 - 3
INJ
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
INF
3 - 2
IDO
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
IDO
1 - 1
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ERR
3 - 1
IDO
30%
26%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ERR
0 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
BID
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
GAR
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAM
0 - 0
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |