Idoya vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAM
0 - 2
IDO
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IDO
1 - 1
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AZK
0 - 0
IDO
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 3
HUA
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 2
UDM
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 3
ALU
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
LOU
55%
23%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 3
AOI
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TUD
1 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
3 - 1
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |