Ideal vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
IDE
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
IDE
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 0
SAC
22%
28%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 3
CAS
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
EST
2%
7%
90%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
VAS
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 2
ARM
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
USA
1 - 2
VAS
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |