Ideal vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EVN
1 - 0
IDE
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
IDE
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
2 - 2
IDE
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
OLH
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
OLH
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 1
SCF
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |