Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 0
IDE
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IDE
0 - 2
MOS
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 0
PRA
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 3
IDE
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IDE
3 - 0
VIM
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
PAM
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
OPE
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
OPE
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 7
OPE
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 3
OPE
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |