Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAT
2 - 1
IDE
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 0
IDE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PRA
3 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
IDE
2 - 1
PRA
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAB
0 - 2
OPE
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
SIN
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
OPE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAL
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
OPE
5 - 0
CLU
80%
13%
6%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |