Ideal vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AMO
2 - 1
IDE
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
IDE
3 - 0
1DE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
IDE
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 1
LOU
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLH
0 - 2
IDE
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MOU
5 - 1
ARM
22%
24%
53%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 2
MOU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 0
FER
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 2
MOU
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 4
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |