Ideal vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
IDE
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
LOU
35%
27%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
IDE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
OLI
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 0
IDE
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 1
EVN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOU
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
38%
28%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
OLH
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |