Ideal vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
5 - 0
IDE
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
IDE
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
GDA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
IDE
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
4 - 1
GDA
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 3
LUS
19%
21%
60%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANG
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
LUS
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |