Ideal vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
IDE
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
IDE
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IDE
2 - 3
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 2
IDE
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
IDE
0 - 0
SIN
54%
24%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
SAC
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
COR
2 - 3
LOU
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 0
LOU
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
SIN
55%
23%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 2
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |