Ideal vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
IDE
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
GAF
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
IDE
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
ANG
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEN
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 1
GDA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GDA
0 - 2
ANG
27%
22%
52%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
7 - 1
GDA
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GDA
0 - 1
UDL
9%
17%
74%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GDA
1 - 2
GDR
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |