Ideal vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 1
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 0
IDE
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 3
OLH
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
EVN
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 5
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
3 - 3
EVN
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EVN
2 - 2
MOU
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |