Ideal vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
4 - 1
IDE
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 3
IDE
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IDE
1 - 1
PRA
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
REA
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 2
IDE
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 1
ESA
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEL
10%
23%
67%
|
62 | 23 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
BEL
11%
23%
66%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |