Ideal vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 1
IDE
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
PAM
51%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 2
OLI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
PRA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
ADN
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 2
PAM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |