Idar-Oberstein vs TuS Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
18º
18º
46
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 0
IDA
82%
12%
5%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
WWO
14%
17%
70%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +4 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 0
IDA
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 5
IDA
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 2
EPP
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
4 - 1
EPP
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GON
3 - 1
TUS
67%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 0
EIS
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOB
1 - 0
TUS
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |