Idar-Oberstein vs Ingelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 0
IDA
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
IDA
0 - 3
MAY
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BNE
3 - 0
IDA
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
IDA
2 - 3
TUS
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
HAU
4 - 2
IDA
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ING
2 - 2
BNE
37%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TUS
3 - 0
ING
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
HAU
3 - 1
ING
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
ING
1 - 3
WWO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 0
ING
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |