Idar-Oberstein vs Karbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
17º
17º
12
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
94% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
IDA
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
2 - 2
DIE
15%
16%
69%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
IDA
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
IDA
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
IDA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
EPP
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
EIS
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
KAR
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
AND
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |