Idar-Oberstein vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SAA
5 - 0
IDA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
IDA
2 - 1
HBI
85%
12%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SVK
1 - 2
IDA
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
IDA
1 - 0
WIR
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
PIR
1 - 3
IDA
36%
26%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
BNE
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
TUS
3 - 0
HOM
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 0
HAU
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WWO
3 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 2
ENG
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |