Idar-Oberstein vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
17º
17º
8
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
94% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
IDA
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
IDA
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
IDA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IDA
3 - 0
STE
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TBJ
3 - 1
IDA
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 4
EPP
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 4
HOM
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 2
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
WWO
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
DIE
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |