Icasa vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ICA
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 0
ICA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
PPE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
ICA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |