Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-5
Icasa vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
75.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
ICA
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
ICA
0 - 0
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 2
ICA
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ICA
3 - 2
CEA
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 3
VAS
7%
15%
77%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 4
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |