Icasa vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
ICA
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 3
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 2
TRE
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |