Icasa vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
ICA
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 3
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -3 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 1
ICA
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
MAR
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ICA
70%
20%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SDJ
3 - 3
ALT
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SDJ
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SDJ
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 0
SDJ
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ICA
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |