Icasa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 1
JEC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 3
OES
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
CEA
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
SJS
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |