Icasa vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
ICA
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
ICA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 3
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
ICA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
ICA
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUV
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
LAG
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |