Icasa vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 1
LUV
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
ICA
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 2
SAL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |