Icasa vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
ICA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 0
ICA
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 3
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
6 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TIR
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |