Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 0
ICA
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
2 - 1
FLO
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
ICA
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GPM
1 - 1
ICA
23%
22%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
FLO
37%
26%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |