Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 4
ICA
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 1
ICA
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
4 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 0
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |