Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
ICA
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
TIR
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 2
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |