Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 0
LIM
76%
15%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 3
GUA
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 2
CRA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 0
HOR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |