Icasa vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 1
ICA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
TRA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |