Icasa vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ICA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
30%
24%
47%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |