Icasa vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ICA
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 1
ICA
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 2
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 4
BOT
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
ITA
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
AGU
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |