Icasa vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
ICA
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
SAO
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
FOR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |