Icasa vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 2
TIR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
ICA
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
18%
23%
60%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
QUI
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |