Icasa vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
FOR
6 - 0
ICA
86%
12%
3%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ICA
3 - 2
CAU
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
31 | 80 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAC
3 - 0
ICA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
ICA
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 3
CRA
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
PAC
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 6
FOR
5%
17%
78%
|
30 | 77 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UNI
7 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
31 | 80 | 49 | 0 |