Icasa vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
TIR
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ICA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 1
ICA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |