Icasa vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 0
ICA
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 0
ICA
35%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
ICA
18%
22%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CEA
9%
17%
75%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TIR
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
TRA
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |