Icasa vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRB
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 1
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
1 - 2
ICA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ICA
0 - 0
ASA
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ASA
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ASA
5 - 2
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |