Icasa vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAC
3 - 0
ICA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
ICA
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 3
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 6
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
80 | 33 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 0
CEA
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAC
91%
7%
1%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | 0 |