Icasa vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FFL
5 - 1
ICA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ICA
0 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 0
ICA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
ICA
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 1
BRA
49%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ASA
6 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
AMF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |