Icasa vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
ICA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
OES
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
JEC
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
BOA
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 3
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |