Icasa vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 4
ICA
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ICA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
0 - 0
SPO
23%
25%
51%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 0
ICA
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 4
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
ASA
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
IFC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |