Icasa vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
3 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
ICA
68%
20%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ICA
1 - 0
RFC
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
0 - 0
ARN
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 0
AFO
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
RFC
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
AFO
0 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 2
AFO
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |